08/29/2017


"For the second successive August, Louisiana is getting hit hard by rain. Last year, it was three days of heavy rains that dumped 20-inches of rain or more across much of south central and eastern Louisiana. This year, rains associated with Hurricane Harvey have been soaking parts of the state for days, with more rains predicted as the storm prepares to re-enter the Gulf of Mexico. 

The August 2016 floods and the floods developing now might not be directly attributed to climate change, but they separately show the influence of climate change. Both floods are at least partially the result of the warming of the Gulf of Mexico and of the atmosphere. Higher temperatures allow for higher humidity. Water from the Gulf evaporates more quickly filling the higher capacity of the atmosphere to hold moisture. That moisture comes down as rain over land. 

South Louisiana and south Texas are both flat. We do not drain quickly. Too much rain over too long a time results in flooding. 

And here we are. This is the new normal. 

Albert Slap is a former law professor and environmental attorney who recognized that there was no readily available means for individuals to make sense of the implications of climate science and the phenomena happening around us. His Florida-based, Coastal Risk Consulting, set out to solve that riddle by combining publicly available science and data resources with detailed elevation tools to help provide risk assessments for residential and commercial property owners. 

Florida and much of the east coast of the United States have begun to experience tidal flooding — that is, day-time flooding not associated with storms or even rain. In this interview, Slap says that the late summer and fall are the times when the flooding is most pronounce due to the interplay of prevailing winds and the moon's gravitational effect on tides. 

Florida shares with Louisiana the problem of sinking land in the midst of rising sea levels. Mortgage bankers and insurance companies are taking note. Slap posts trade publication stories regularly on LinkedIn about how actuaries in each industry are beginning to change the way they view climate change and the risk and costs that will be associated with it. He believes that in the not too-distant future mortgages will be scarce for properties exposed to climate risk. 

As Hurricane Harvey batters Texas, the National Flood Insurance Program is set to expire on September 30 (the end of the current fiscal year for the federal government). As those who weathered any of the disasters that have struck Louisiana and Texas in this century know, NFIP insurance is just about the only chance homeowners have to approach full recovery from these calamities. But, the program is billions in debt due to payouts made from storms here and elsewhere. 

What will happen after September 30? Will Congress renew the act, even temporarily? What will happen in the flood next time? 

Some in Congress want to attract private insurance companies into the NFIP. Insurance companies deal with risk. Climate change and climate change-induced disasters are taking on the look of certainty, not chance. How does the idea of risk figure into that? How much will it cost to get the coverage (if it's available)? What are people living in coastal areas to do if the coverage is not available when they suffer losses? 

Climate change is happening now and getting real for more people — even those who profess not to believe that it is man-made. Albert Slap has seen it coming. He talks about it in this podcast."

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08/16/2017

"Nancy MacLean's Democracy In Chains not only sheds light on the history of the ideas that have come to dominate the best funded wing of U.S. conservatism (more accurately defined as radical libertarianism), it also sheds considerable light on the ideas behind the Jindal era in Louisiana politics. 

MacLean traces the intellectual and political history of James McGill Buchanan. She stumbled across Buchanan's name in footnotes in separate sources on separate issues and her curiosity was piqued. 

One of the footnotes referred to Buchanan's role in Virginia's attempted massive resistance against the 1954 Brown v. Board of Education decision. Buchanan, it turns out, was the brains behind the idea of proposing the state shut down and then sell all of its white public schools (Brown over turned the separate but equal ruling that came in Plessy v. Ferguson). Buchanan propose the state then issue vouchers to students whose families could then use the money to send their kids to segregation academies which could even buy the schools from the Commonwealth. 

Like a number of other ideas put forth by Buchanan over the next 50 years, the idea of getting Virginia out of the public education business was not  popular with a lot of people in that state, not the least of which was the business community which had started growing in Northern Virginia. It was a reality that would shape how Buchanan and the people who used his ideas talked about them. They learned that being clear about the intent of their policies would produce public opposition to them. So, a level of language corruption was essential to the promotion and spreading of these ideas. 

Buchanan was the leading light in what has become the public choice movement, which uses the concept of choice to undermine public belief in a broader common good and public interest. At the core of his beliefs is the idea that majorities are not to be trusted and that liberty is to be defined and measured in terms of wealth, property ownership and the extent to which the state can tax wealth and make claims on property that run counter to those of the owners. In short, when it came to government's ability to tax and its ability to make policy, Buchanan believed that unanimous decisions were the only ones that could be considered legitimate. 

Buchanan's ideas, then, would award political veto power to the smallest, yet most powerful minorities — the rich and the propertied. Buchanan provided intellectual aid and comfort to the 1%. In return, they funded the ostensibly economic but truly political centers he founded using the largesse of donors such as Charles Koch at the University of Virginia, Virginia Tech and George Mason University. 

In addition to school vouchers, Buchanan's ideas include cutting taxes, shrinking the size of government, raising the cost of using government services — particularly higher education, removing government from the business of regulating business, and weakening any power that might challenge what businesses or wealthy individuals would do in any sector. 

If you live in Louisiana, or Wisconsin, or Kansas, these ideas probably sound familiar it's because governors in those three states (Bobby Jindal, Sam Brownback and Scott Walker – all connected to Charles Koch's money and networks) implemented versions of those ideas in their states. 

In order to understand the basic premise of how Bobby Jindal operated while governor of Louisiana, you need to read Naomi Klein's Shock Doctrine. It provides the framework of Jindal's approach to government, starting with the creation of artificial emergencies which opened the way for him to radically reshape Louisiana government in ways that he could not have done without the existence of those emergencies. 

Jindal is an intelligent man who was served by smart people. It strains credulity to believe that they never could balance a state budget. The record shows that Jindal used recurring revenue shortfalls as the trigger mechanism to radically change state government in ways that we will be trying to recover from for years to come (think state cuts in higher education funding coupled with rising tuitions and think of the tax exemptions and incentives to companies that his administration threw at companies to get them to locate here). 

But, Democracy In Chains shows us were many of Jindal's worst ideas came from and they can traced back to Buchanan and places like the Mercatus Center at George Mason which Buchanan helped found and which consulted with Jindal's Commission on Streamlining Government which operated for about seven months in 2009 and early 2010. This commission was where everything from Jindal's so-called education reforms to the great severance tax razoo of 2010-13. Armed with those ideas (what Milton Friedman called a ""tool box"") Jindal entered his second term with his ideological guns blazing in what turned out to have been a bone-crushing failure of a presidential campaign. 

Jindal came into office with a surplus of $1 billion. By the time the tax exemptions were piled up, the incentives dished out and his administration's general indifference to the fate of state government and its impact on the people of the state, Jindal left office in 2016 as the most unpopular governor in the country (followed closely by Brownback and Walker) leaving his successor John Bel Edwards a $3 billion budget hole to close. 

Buchanan, MacLean writes, viewed himself as a theorist in the school of political economy. At none of his three academic centers were economists asked to deal with the actual math of economics. It was visionary work unencumbered by pesky numbers or even facts. 

What the records of Jindal, Brownback and Walker show is that Buchanan's ideas are not the kind that successful governments can be built upon. After reading MacLean's book, it's clear that breaking government was the objective — one which Buchanan, his office-seeking acolytes, and his supporters could not publicly reveal."

Guest UserComment
08/11/2017

"Scientists at 13 federal agencies have released the final draft of their report on the impact of climate change on the United States. The report says that the country is already experiencing the effects of climate change. The release of the report constitutes a form of whistleblowing since it was done without the permission of the Trump administration. 

There is growing evidence that mortgage and insurance companies take climate change seriously because of the growing book of evidence regarding sea level rise. Tidal flooding on the Eastern Seaboard from Miami to Boston is already occurring. Louisiana's coastal land is sinking even as sea levels rise. 

Three Louisiana residents share their perspectives on the scientific, engineering and humanitarian challenges facing Louisiana, its people and its leaders as we begin to confront the existential threat posed by climate change and natural forces. 

Bob Marshall is a two-time Pulitzer Prize winning reporter based in New Orleans. Marshall earned those awards (and others) for his insightful work on Louisiana's wetlands both as a natural and economic resource, and as a buffer protecting Louisiana's coastal communities from storms. 

Marshall continues his work of making sense of climate science for laymen. 

Bren Haase is chief of research and planning for the Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority, the Louisiana entity charged with responding to the disappearance of Louisiana's coast, reversing some of that, and protecting our communities as well as possible from future storms that will assuredly batter our coast in coming decades. 

Johanna deGraffenried was with the Gulf Restoration Network when her segment of this show was recorded. In it, deGraffenried talks about the unpleasant truth that even if we succeed in saving some of our coast, many residents will no longer be able to live in the communities they now call home. GNR produced abandonment zone maps using data from the CPRA and the Census Bureau. The late Dr. Ezra Boyd produced those maps for CPRA. 

Three interviews conducted separately that give a compelling view of the challenges we face going forward."

Guest UserComment